Track Record
The record, in the open
Every week, every game where both models agree by 1.5 points or more. Wins and losses, nothing hidden.
Record
64-58-4
126 graded plays
Win rate
52.5%
break-even at -110 is 52.4%
Units
+0.24u
+0.2% ROI
Pending
0
plays not yet final
Each Thursday's report names its plays: every game where SP+ and FPI agree on a side with a dual edge of at least 1.5 points. The record takes the models' side on each, graded at the consensus spread when the report published, at -110 for 1 unit, so a line that moves later does not change the grade. The full rules are on the methodology page.
By week
| Week | Record | Units | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 | 4-12-1 | -8.36u | - |
| Week 6 | 11-7-1 | +3.01u | - |
| Week 5 | 10-7-1 | +2.10u | - |
| Week 4 | 11-11 | -0.99u | - |
| Week 3 | 11-9 | +1.01u | - |
| Week 2 | 12-9 | +1.92u | - |
| Week 1 | 5-3-1 | +1.55u | - |
Results post as games finish.
Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. Lines move; each play's number is the one published in its week's report.